Burr, Bush and Clinton lead in new 2016 poll

February 5, 2015

FEBRUARY 5, 2015
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A statewide survey released Thursday shows U.S. Senator Richard Burr and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leading in potential 2016 general election contests in the Tar Heel State, while former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush leads a field of likely Republican presidential primary candidates.

The survey, conducted Jan. 21-22 by the Carolina Partnership for Reform, shows Bush trailing only Mitt Romney, who bowed out of the presidential race last week, in a 10-way primary. North Carolina is set to be one of the earliest primary states in the country.

Clinton leads both Romney and Bush on general election ballot test. Burr, seeking his third term to the U.S. Senate, leads hypothetical match ups against both Roy Cooper and Kay Hagan.

Below is a statement from Carolina Partnership for Reform President Jeff Hyde on the findings:

“North Carolina is poised to play a vital role in selecting the Republican and Democrat nominees for president, and in the general election as a key battleground state. As the political spotlight turns to North Carolina, candidates at every level should note our state’s improving economy and use recent pro-growth policy changes by leaders in Raleigh as a model for the rest of the nation.”

click here for the full poll memorandum

click here for the complete crosstabs

click here for the previous release on state results


This telephone survey was conducted by Meeting Street Research on January 21-22, 2015 among 500 registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.38%. 75% of the interviews were conducted on land lines, while 25% were conducted on cell phones. Rob Autry was the principal researcher.


Carolina Partnership for Reform is a public benefit organization that conducts policy research and educates the public about freedom-based policy reforms and initiatives in order to further individual liberty, promote economic growth, and improve education in North Carolina.


Jeff Hyde is the President of Carolina Partnership for Reform. A native son of the South, his love for family, community, and enduring institutions was set in stone during his years at Wake Forest University, from which he holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in History. Jeff is a small business owner and entrepreneur. He lives in the Piedmont with his wife and two sons.

Robert Harris is a 37 year veteran researcher. He has worked for Senators, including, Jesse Helms & Lauch Faircloth, as well as Representatives, including, George Holding, Robert Pittenger and Renee Ellmers. Harris has also worked for policy organizations such as the Republican Governors Association and North Carolina Republican Party’s Senate Caucus. Harris’ unique personal story of remaining productive with the help of family and colleagues while living with the challenges of muscular dystrophy has been profiled on 60 Minutes. He is currently the Research Director for Carolina Partnership for Reform and contributes to the organization’s blog.